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Affinity & virtual screening · Recent preprint · 2026-03-06

Joint structure and binding-affinity reasoning

Can one model predict both the bound geometry and the energetic ranking needed to prioritize compounds?

What researchers are trying

IsoDDE and Boltz-2 extend co-folding systems with learned affinity heads, while hybrid studies combine AI structures with docking or physics-based free-energy methods.

Why it matters

Pose generation alone does not answer which molecule should be made next. Affinity, uncertainty and ranking are the decision-relevant layer.

Evidence boundary

Recent independent evaluations report that strong global correlations may not preserve ranking among top compounds, where lead-selection decisions occur.

Organizations represented

Isomorphic Labs · MIT · Open community

Demonstrated evidence

What has actually been shown.

  • Developer-reported public benchmark gains for IsoDDE.
  • Boltz-2 made joint open structure-and-affinity workflows broadly accessible.

Unresolved questions

  • Can models rank close analogues within a chemical series?
  • How well do they extrapolate across assays, protonation states and target families?
  • Can uncertainty identify when physics or experiment should take over?

Signals to watch next

  • Top-k enrichment
  • Matched molecular-pair tests
  • Prospective affinity challenges
  • AI + FEP hybrid workflows
Connected evidence graph

Related BioAtlas model passports.

Boltz-1 / Boltz-2

Open-source AF3-quality structure — plus binding affinity.

4/7 evidence fields documented

AlphaFold 2 / 3

The model that solved the 50-year protein-folding problem.

4/7 evidence fields documented

Schrödinger Platform

Physics-based simulation, now fused with machine learning.

1/7 evidence fields documented

DiffDock

Reframing molecular docking as a diffusion generative problem.

4/7 evidence fields documented
Primary and evaluation sources

Inspect the evidence directly.