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Benchmark claim · developer-reported

State / Stack: Cell perturbation prediction

Open evaluation of cell-state prediction under perturbation.

Model versionStack
TaskCell perturbation prediction
DatasetPerturbation prediction datasets
SplitPerturbation-prediction datasets
MetricCell-state prediction
Replicationemerging
Reported byModel developers
Review statuscurated
Evidence confidence · limited

Confidence is multidimensional, not a universal model score.

Evidence completenessstrongModel version, task, dataset, split, metric, source and provenance fields.
Independent validationlimitedemerging
Source qualitylimitedPreprint / open evaluation
Reproducibility evidencelimitedReflects documented replication status, not a universal reproducibility score.
Version specificitystrongStack
Context applicabilitystrongDepends on task, split and explicit caveats; users must still validate their own context.
Contradiction reviewclearNo direct contradiction signal is currently queued.

BioAtlas reports evidence dimensions separately so a strong source cannot hide weak applicability, incomplete replication or unresolved contradiction.

Why?

Why should this evidence influence a decision?

Why this evidence?

It is linked to a specific model version, scientific task, dataset, split, metric and source. That makes the claim inspectable rather than a detached marketing score.

Why not a universal score?

Performance can change with dataset, split, preprocessing, metric and context of use. BioAtlas therefore keeps confidence dimensions separate.

What could change the conclusion?

Independent replication, a better matched prospective dataset, a version change, a contradictory result or a more relevant validation protocol can reopen this evidence record.

Evidence boundary

What this claim does not prove.

  • Cell line, tissue, dose and timepoint shifts can dominate performance.
  • In-silico perturbations require experimental validation.

BioAtlas groups benchmark claims only when task, dataset, split, metric and protocol context align. This record is not a universal model score.

Model context

State is Arc Institute's first virtual-cell model: given a starting transcriptome and a perturbation (drug, gene edit or cytokine), it predicts how gene expression will shift. Trained on ~170M observational and 100M+ perturbational cells across 70 contexts, it pairs a State Embedding module with a State Transition transformer. Its 2026 successor, Stack, learns cell biology in-context to generalize to unseen conditions.

Full evidence passport →

Known model limitations

  • Performance depends on the evaluation dataset and operating conditions.
  • Task-specific benchmark results should not be compared across unlike domains.
  • Outputs require task-specific scientific and experimental validation.